Les procédures de maintenance des réseaux s’inscrivent avant tout sur l’axe du temps. Au-delà de la maintenance curative, qui répond à l’urgence du moment, les maintenances préventives et prédictives reposent sur l’anticipation. Une anticipation empirique pour l’une et algorithmique pour l’autre. En quoi la donnée référencée est-elle essentielle pour mener à bien ces maintenances proactives ? Décryptage.
Comme son nom l’indique, la maintenance curative (ou corrective) est liée à des incidents constatés en temps réel. Ces situations d’urgence peuvent être diverses : détection d’un incident, accident, panne, anomalie par des individus (exploitants, personnel, témoin, etc.) ou des capteurs connectés.
Pour faire remonter les données et enclencher une procédure de traitement, les infrastructures ferroviaires ont de plus en plus recours à l’IoT (Internet des objets). Objectif : accélérer les délais d’intervention. En effet, pour rétablir la situation, la prise en charge se déroule dans un laps de temps respectant le délai contractuel d’intervention : dans une situation dangereuse, ces délais doivent être immédiats.
L’objectif de tout exploitant de réseau est de réduire la part de maintenance curative, particulièrement onéreuse. Le recours au curatif doit donc rester exceptionnel et répondre à des impondérables (par exemple, une voiture percutant une armoire électrique). L’anticipation maximale des interventions de type curatif va permettre d’alimenter la maintenance prédictive.
◇ Faciliter l’exploitation des patrimoines et leur maintenance ◇
La maintenance prédictive permet d’anticiper certaines pannes en analysant les durées de vie (ou de fonctionnement) des équipements spécifiés par les constructeurs. Il s’agit, en d’autres termes, d’analyser le passé pour envisager les actes de maintenance des réseaux à programmer. Une démarche empirique, qui met en place un calendrier de planification reposant sur le temps écoulé et les expériences passées.
Néanmoins, cette maintenance nécessite le développement d’un tableau de bord métier reposant sur des outils de business intelligence. Outils qui nécessitent eux-mêmes la création d’entrepôts de données adaptés aux problématiques métier.
Au lieu de consulter ces données grâce à des requêtes complexes, il faudra donc créer des outils permettant d’identifier les éléments par leur signification métier. Par exemple, dans le cas d’un réseau d’eau, on accordera de l’importance aux notions de « débit » et de « secteur ». Cet outil permettra alors de créer une visualisation sous forme graphique (abscisse temporelle, représentation spatiale…) afin de présenter la donnée de manière simple, accessible par chacun.
Aujourd’hui, l’élément central de la maintenance des réseaux est la connaissance de son patrimoine qui passe inévitablement par un référentiel. En second plan, il faut intégrer l’historique de maintenance. À partir de cet historique, les algorithmes de machine learning vont pouvoir anticiper les pannes futures.
Intelligence artificielle et maintenance prédictive : où en est-on ?
De nombreuses fausses informations sont colportées sur le sujet. Dans la réalité, sur 100 projets incluant l’intelligence artificielle (IA) lancés pour la maintenance prédictive, 80 restent à l’état de preuve de concept. Le principal problème rencontré est le manque de cas d’usage bien documentés, contenant des données qualitatives (souvent erronées, mal renseignées ou absentes).
La donnée est le paramètre fondamental de tout travail d’algorithme de prédiction : la phase de préparation de la data ne peut donc être négligée. Comme ce travail s’appuie sur un historique du patrimoine du référentiel mis à jour, il faut être en capacité de reconstituer l’état du référentiel de manière à connaître les critères et les causes d’une panne.
Une fois les données réunies et épurées, commence alors un véritable travail d’expertise sur :
Ce type de maintenance des réseaux a pour objectif de produire des prescriptions : il ne s’agit plus uniquement de déterminer les origines et les dates de pannes, mais bien d’évaluer les composantes qui pourraient être améliorées.
Il convient alors de travailler sur un scénario dans lequel on prévoit de mettre en place plusieurs actes de maintenance – notamment dans les sphères économiques et techniques. Objectif : réduire le nombre d’opérations curatives et leurs coûts, améliorer la performance du réseau et le taux de rendement global d’un équipement.
L’enjeu est donc de prescrire un plan de maintenance des réseaux sur la base de contraintes et d’hypothèses fournies en entrée (durée, coût à de ne pas dépasser, etc.). L’exploitant analysera alors les différents scénarios et optera pour le plus pertinent pour répondre à ses objectifs.
Selon une récente étude, entre 22 et 32 % des incidents résultent d’une avarie de matériel (défaut de freinage, boîtes chaudes, départ d’incendie, incident de la signalisation…).
Si l’on prend l’exemple du secteur ferroviaire, la prévention de ces pannes endosse plusieurs enjeux :
Dans une étude de 2017, l’Autorité de la qualité de service dans les transports (AQST), dépendant du ministère du Développement durable, estime que le temps perdu par l’ensemble des voyageurs ferroviaires est de plus de 2 milliards de minutes chaque année. « Ceci correspond à une perte de valeur économique pour la collectivité nationale de l’ordre de plus de 1,5 milliard d’euros », précisent les auteurs.
◇ Maintenance des réseaux : du curatif au prescriptif, une stratégie qui rapporte ◇
En 2018, une étude du cabinet de conseil Mackinsey démontrait que tous les marchés pourraient réaliser une économie de 630 milliards en réalisant une maintenance prédictive basée sur l’industrie 4.0 et d’autres secteurs. L’objectif ? Détecter les signaux faibles grâce aux capteurs et les intégrer dans des algorithmes de prédiction des pannes.
Pour autant, la démarche demeure minoritaire car coûteuse. La solution serait alors de coordonner les phases de maintenance prédictive sur la programmation des travaux de voirie, afin d’anticiper au mieux les interventions sur secteurs à risque.
Même si la maintenance curative reste incontournable, son coût prohibitif oblige les gestionnaires de réseaux à réduire sa part. Mais pour y parvenir et réaliser des maintenances préventive et prédictive pertinentes, plusieurs outils fondamentaux sont à mettre en œuvre. Entre autres, une logique d’API pour garantir la qualité de la donnée, ou encore les échanges de sources de data.
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اگر در میان گزینههای مختلف درمانی برای افسردگی گیج
شده اید، در این مطلب اطلاعاتی برای نحوه تصمیم گیری در مورد بهترین روش برایتان گردآوری
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